Tue, Nov 3
Fog
- High
- 24°
- Low
- 14°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 24 km/h, gusts 43 km/h
- UV index
- 3.5
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 24° – 25°, lows 14° – 15°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Abashispiri
Forecast as of Nov 3, 06:13
Back to AbashispiriEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 20°
- Low
- 15°
- Precipitation
- 1.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 78%
- Wind
- 16 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
- UV index
- 2.2
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 18:02
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 20° – 21°, lows 14° – 15°, precipitation 0.9 – 5.7 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 12°
- Precipitation
- 19.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 36 km/h, gusts 66 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 15° – 16°, lows 11° – 12°, precipitation 19.1 – 65.1 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 0.5 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 63%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 2.1
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13°, lows 8° – 10°, precipitation 0.6 – 5 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Thunderstorm
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 40.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 88%
- Wind
- 27 km/h, gusts 59 km/h
- UV index
- 2.3
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 7°, precipitation 6.1 – 39 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Showers
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 2.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 84%
- Wind
- 28 km/h, gusts 52 km/h
- UV index
- 1.7
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11°, lows 5° – 6°, precipitation 1.7 – 8.3 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 56%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12° – 14°, lows 2° – 5°, precipitation 0 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 2° – 5°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 14°, lows 5° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Fog
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 27%
- Wind
- 19 km/h, gusts 37 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16°, lows 3° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Drizzle
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 3.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 33 km/h, gusts 61 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 16°, lows 8° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 3.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Drizzle
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 2.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 21 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 1.8
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 5° – 9°, precipitation 0 – 2.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Fog
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 20%
- Wind
- 33 km/h, gusts 60 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 20°, lows 5° – 11°, precipitation 0 – 0.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Showers
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 2.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 34%
- Wind
- 34 km/h, gusts 63 km/h
- UV index
- 0.6
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:49
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14°, lows 9° – 12°, precipitation 2.8 – 13.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.