Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 68%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:41 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 18°, lows 8° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 1.9 mm
14-day forecast Akhaldaba
Forecast as of Nov 4, 21:52
Back to AkhaldabaEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 29.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 16 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 0.6
Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12°, lows 5° – 7°, precipitation 14.4 – 32.6 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 3.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 98%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8°, lows 3° – 5°, precipitation 0.7 – 4.7 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Light rain
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 6.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 72%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 8°, lows 3° – 4°, precipitation 4.9 – 7.9 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Snow showers
- High
- 5°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 4.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 68%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
- UV index
- 1
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 3° – 5°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 4.3 – 30.1 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Overcast
- High
- 5°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 78%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 34 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 2° – 5°, lows -4° – 2°, precipitation 0 – 4.8 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Partly cloudy
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 31%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 5° – 8°, lows -4° – 0°, precipitation 0 mm
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 10%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 38 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 6° – 9°, lows -3° – 2°, precipitation 0 mm
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 8°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 11°, lows -3° – 2°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Partly cloudy
- High
- 8°
- Low
- -2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 14°, lows -3° – 4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Mostly clear
- High
- 9°
- Low
- -3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 20%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 13°, lows -3° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 8%
- Wind
- 21 km/h, gusts 55 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 15°, lows 1° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 3.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16
Fog
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 29%
- Wind
- 21 km/h, gusts 55 km/h
- UV index
- 1.6
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 7° – 11°, lows 2° – 3°, precipitation 0 – 17.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Tue, Nov 17partial day
Drizzle
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 32%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 43 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:44
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 7° – 12°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 0.1 – 1.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.