Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 23°
- Low
- 13°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 3.7
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 18:06
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 22° – 23°, lows 12° – 16°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Akhalsheni
Forecast as of Nov 3, 09:21
Back to AkhalsheniEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 20°
- Low
- 17°
- Precipitation
- 2.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 70%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 18:05
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 19° – 21°, lows 14° – 16°, precipitation 1.2 – 8.2 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 52.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 26 km/h, gusts 61 km/h
- UV index
- 0.2
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 15° – 16°, lows 11°, precipitation 59.5 – 87.3 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 9.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 81%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 2
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 18:02
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 8° – 10°, precipitation 4.8 – 42.8 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Rain
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 33.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 93%
- Wind
- 21 km/h, gusts 44 km/h
- UV index
- 0.7
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 7° – 8°, precipitation 19.2 – 69 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Rain
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 26.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 92%
- Wind
- 16 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 9°, lows 6°, precipitation 25.7 – 33.3 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Partly cloudy
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 61%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13°, lows 3° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 7.8 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 3° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 0.6
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 14°, lows 3° – 8°, precipitation 0 – 5.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 33%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 18°, lows 3° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Showers
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 15.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 29%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 19°, lows 6° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 14.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Showers
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 31 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 33%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
- UV index
- 1.5
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 17°, lows 3° – 11°, precipitation 0 – 32.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Fog
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 21°, lows 3° – 13°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Showers
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 5.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 41%
- Wind
- 18 km/h, gusts 43 km/h
- UV index
- 0.8
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:52
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 18°, lows 5° – 13°, precipitation 5.7 – 17.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.