Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:37 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Akhaltsikhe
Forecast as of Nov 3, 17:24
Back to AkhaltsikheEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Light rain
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 23%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:38 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 1° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 1.6 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Showers
- High
- 7°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 85%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 0.8
Sunrise 07:39 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 5° – 6°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 4.8 – 7.7 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 3°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 40 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:40 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 2° – 5°, lows -1° – 0°, precipitation 0 – 1.8 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Overcast
- High
- 3°
- Low
- -2°
- Precipitation
- 0.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 16 km/h, gusts 39 km/h
- UV index
- 3.6
Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 1° – 3°, lows -4° – -2°, precipitation 0 – 21.3 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Partly cloudy
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 10%
- Wind
- 18 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 0° – 2°, lows -16° – -4°, precipitation 0 – 0.4 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Overcast
- High
- -1°
- Low
- -5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 6%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -1° – 0°, lows -19° – -5°, precipitation 0 – 1.1 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Partly cloudy
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -12°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 2%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:44
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -2° – 2°, lows -19° – -5°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Fog
- High
- -2°
- Low
- -14°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 11%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:43
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -1° – 4°, lows -16° – -4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -11°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 16%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:42
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1° – 5°, lows -10° – -2°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Light snow
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -10°
- Precipitation
- 0.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:41
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 0° – 8°, lows -14° – 0°, precipitation 0 – 0.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Light snow
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 0.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 1.1
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:40
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1° – 10°, lows -14° – 2°, precipitation 0 – 0.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -11°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 13 km/h
- UV index
- 0.7
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:39
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 2° – 11°, lows -12° – 5°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Overcast
- High
- 3°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 10%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 12 km/h
- UV index
- 1.1
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:38
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 4° – 10°, lows -9° – 2°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.