Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
- UV index
- 3.6
Sunrise 07:37 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 17°, lows 7° – 10°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Akhalubani
Forecast as of Nov 3, 07:02
Back to AkhalubaniEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Overcast
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 12%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:39 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16°, lows 7° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 0.2 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Light rain
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 10.5 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 95%
- Wind
- 33 km/h, gusts 68 km/h
- UV index
- 1.2
Sunrise 07:40 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 6° – 7°, precipitation 9 – 10.6 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Overcast
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 6%
- Wind
- 25 km/h, gusts 48 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:41 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 9°, lows 4°, precipitation 0 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Light rain
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 27 km/h, gusts 59 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 9°, lows 2° – 3°, precipitation 0.2 – 0.7 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Partly cloudy
- High
- 5°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 33 km/h, gusts 72 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 4°, lows -1° – 2°, precipitation 0.3 – 1 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Partly cloudy
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 15%
- Wind
- 18 km/h, gusts 42 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 8°, lows -1° – 0°, precipitation 0 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 7%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: high
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 11°, lows -1° – 1°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 7°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 34 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 7° – 8°, lows 1° – 4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Partly cloudy
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 16 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9°, lows 0° – 4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Drizzle
- High
- 5°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 18 km/h, gusts 36 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:44
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 5° – 10°, lows 3°, precipitation 0 – 5.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Drizzle
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 2.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 11%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:43
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 12°, lows 2° – 3°, precipitation 0 – 2.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Fog
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 16 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:42
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 13°, lows 2° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Drizzle
- High
- 7°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 19%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 0.5
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:41
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 2° – 7°, precipitation 0.1 – 0.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.