14-day forecast Algiti

Forecast as of Nov 4, 09:04

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Farm weather: frost, hail, spraying windows and soil

Each day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.

Wed, Nov 4

Showers

High: 20°
Low: 16°
Precipitation: 10.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 100%
Wind: 12 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
UV index: 2.3

Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 18:06

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 18° – 19°, lows 14° – 16°, precipitation 9.8 – 14.3 mm

Thu, Nov 5

Thunderstorm

High: 17°
Low: 13°
Precipitation: 21.7 mm
Chance of precipitation: 93%
Wind: 20 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
UV index: 2.5

Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 18:05

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 17°, lows 11° – 12°, precipitation 7.4 – 23 mm

Fri, Nov 6

Overcast

High: 14°
Low: 10°
Precipitation: 0.1 mm
Chance of precipitation: 22%
Wind: 19 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
UV index: 1.9

Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 18:04

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12° – 14°, lows 8° – 9°, precipitation 0.2 – 1.3 mm

Sat, Nov 7

Rain

High: 11°
Low: 9°
Precipitation: 26.6 mm
Chance of precipitation: 100%
Wind: 20 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
UV index: 1.9

Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 18:02

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 5° – 8°, precipitation 12.3 – 26.8 mm

Sun, Nov 8

Showers

High: 9°
Low: 7°
Precipitation: 6.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 21%
Wind: 16 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
UV index: 3.1

Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 18:01

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 4° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 8.2 mm

Mon, Nov 9

Partly cloudy

High: 11°
Low: 5°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 4%
Wind: 11 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
UV index: 2.9

Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 18:00

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 12°, lows 3° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 1.5 mm

Tue, Nov 10

Overcast

High: 13°
Low: 7°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 23%
Wind: 12 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
UV index: 2.3

Sunrise 08:03 · Sunset 17:59

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 15°, lows 5° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm

Wed, Nov 11

Overcast

High: 16°
Low: 9°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 25%
Wind: 12 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
UV index: 1.3

Sunrise 08:04 · Sunset 17:58

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 4° – 10°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Thu, Nov 12

Drizzle

High: 12°
Low: 8°
Precipitation: 3.8 mm
Chance of precipitation: 42%
Wind: 22 km/h, gusts 43 km/h
UV index: 1.8

Sunrise 08:05 · Sunset 17:57

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 19°, lows 8° – 11°, precipitation 0 – 3.7 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Fri, Nov 13

Showers

High: 11°
Low: 9°
Precipitation: 20.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 27%
Wind: 19 km/h, gusts 37 km/h
UV index: 2.8

Sunrise 08:06 · Sunset 17:56

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 21°, lows 9° – 14°, precipitation 0 – 19.2 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sat, Nov 14

Showers

High: 14°
Low: 8°
Precipitation: 10.6 mm
Chance of precipitation: 33%
Wind: 14 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
UV index: 2.4

Sunrise 08:08 · Sunset 17:55

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 19°, lows 7° – 15°, precipitation 0 – 11.9 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sun, Nov 15

Showers

High: 14°
Low: 7°
Precipitation: 11.8 mm
Chance of precipitation: 35%
Wind: 8 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index: 0.3

Sunrise 08:09 · Sunset 17:54

Confidence: high

ECMWF and GFS: highs 16°, lows 7°, precipitation 8.3 – 23.7 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Mon, Nov 16

Showers

High: 14°
Low: 11°
Precipitation: 25.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 35%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
UV index: 2.5

Sunrise 08:10 · Sunset 17:53

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 15°, lows 6° – 11°, precipitation 0 – 28.6 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Tue, Nov 17partial day

Drizzle

High: 15°
Low: 11°
Precipitation: 2.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 33%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 20 km/h
UV index: 2.5

Sunrise 08:12 · Sunset 17:52

The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 15°, lows 5° – 11°, precipitation 0 – 2.7 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

How the confidence is worked out

Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:

ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service

When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.

ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.

The level is the lower of these two:

Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm

A day that only one model reaches has no level.

The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.