14-day forecast Bulishkhinji

Forecast as of Nov 4, 09:46

Back to Bulishkhinji

Farm weather: frost, hail, spraying windows and soil

Each day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.

Wed, Nov 4

Thunderstorm

High: 20°
Low: 13°
Precipitation: 3 mm
Chance of precipitation: 100%
Wind: 8 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index: 2.3

Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 18:03

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 19° – 21°, lows 12° – 15°, precipitation 5.5 – 9.1 mm

Thu, Nov 5

Thunderstorm

High: 16°
Low: 9°
Precipitation: 32.8 mm
Chance of precipitation: 100%
Wind: 15 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
UV index: 3

Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 18:02

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 18°, lows 9° – 10°, precipitation 21.2 – 35.8 mm

Fri, Nov 6

Fog

High: 13°
Low: 5°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 15%
Wind: 6 km/h, gusts 12 km/h
UV index: 3

Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 18:00

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 5° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 0.4 mm

Sat, Nov 7

Rain

High: 10°
Low: 7°
Precipitation: 17.2 mm
Chance of precipitation: 96%
Wind: 12 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:59

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 12°, lows 5° – 9°, precipitation 12.7 – 18.7 mm

Sun, Nov 8

Showers

High: 9°
Low: 5°
Precipitation: 7.7 mm
Chance of precipitation: 83%
Wind: 14 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
UV index: 3.1

Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:58

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 2° – 4°, precipitation 1.7 – 14.5 mm

Mon, Nov 9

Fog

High: 11°
Low: 2°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 10%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
UV index: 3

Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:57

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 13°, lows 2°, precipitation 0 – 0.3 mm

Tue, Nov 10

Overcast

High: 13°
Low: 1°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 14%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
UV index: 2.5

Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:56

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 2° – 6°, precipitation 0 – 1.5 mm

Wed, Nov 11

Overcast

High: 15°
Low: 2°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 20%
Wind: 5 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
UV index: 1.9

Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:55

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 1° – 9°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Thu, Nov 12

Drizzle

High: 15°
Low: 3°
Precipitation: 1.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 31%
Wind: 11 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
UV index: 1.6

Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:54

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 19°, lows 3° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 1.3 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Fri, Nov 13

Drizzle

High: 13°
Low: 8°
Precipitation: 13.2 mm
Chance of precipitation: 22%
Wind: 9 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
UV index: 2.9

Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:53

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 23°, lows 8° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 12.9 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sat, Nov 14

Drizzle

High: 15°
Low: 7°
Precipitation: 7 mm
Chance of precipitation: 33%
Wind: 11 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
UV index: 2.5

Sunrise 08:03 · Sunset 17:52

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 19°, lows 6° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 7.4 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sun, Nov 15

Showers

High: 17°
Low: 6°
Precipitation: 3.8 mm
Chance of precipitation: 41%
Wind: 5 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
UV index: 0.2

Sunrise 08:04 · Sunset 17:51

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 19°, lows 6° – 7°, precipitation 1.9 – 34.8 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Mon, Nov 16

Showers

High: 17°
Low: 12°
Precipitation: 37.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 33%
Wind: 4 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
UV index: 1.9

Sunrise 08:05 · Sunset 17:50

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 17°, lows 5° – 11°, precipitation 0.3 – 38.2 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Tue, Nov 17partial day

Drizzle

High: 16°
Low: 10°
Precipitation: 8.3 mm
Chance of precipitation: 30%
Wind: 5 km/h, gusts 13 km/h
UV index: 2.5

Sunrise 08:07 · Sunset 17:49

The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 16°, lows 3° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 9.4 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

How the confidence is worked out

Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:

ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service

When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.

ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.

The level is the lower of these two:

Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm

A day that only one model reaches has no level.

The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.