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14-day forecast Didi Pamaji

Forecast as of Nov 3, 10:55

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Farm weather: frost, hail, spraying windows and soil

Each day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.

Tue, Nov 3

Overcast

High
17°
Low
4°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
0%
Wind
3 km/h, gusts 8 km/h
UV index
3.8

Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 18:01

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 17°, lows 4° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm

Wed, Nov 4

Showers

High
15°
Low
5°
Precipitation
3 mm
Chance of precipitation
30%
Wind
5 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
UV index
3.7

Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 18:00

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 5° – 8°, precipitation 1.7 – 4.4 mm

Thu, Nov 5

Light rain

High
12°
Low
5°
Precipitation
4.9 mm
Chance of precipitation
65%
Wind
18 km/h, gusts 34 km/h
UV index
1.9

Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:59

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 11°, lows 4° – 5°, precipitation 6.1 – 8.3 mm

Fri, Nov 6

Overcast

High
7°
Low
3°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
18%
Wind
10 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
UV index
3.2

Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:58

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 9°, lows 2° – 4°, precipitation 0 – 0.9 mm

Sat, Nov 7

Light rain

High
7°
Low
2°
Precipitation
1.2 mm
Chance of precipitation
23%
Wind
22 km/h, gusts 39 km/h
UV index
3.1

Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:56

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 6° – 8°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 1.9 – 12.7 mm

Sun, Nov 8

Rain

High
3°
Low
0°
Precipitation
4.2 mm
Chance of precipitation
73%
Wind
16 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
UV index
3.6

Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:55

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 3° – 6°, lows -3° – 0°, precipitation 0 – 5.2 mm

Mon, Nov 9

Overcast

High
5°
Low
-1°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
49%
Wind
10 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
UV index
3.6

Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:54

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 4° – 5°, lows -5° – -1°, precipitation 0 – 0.2 mm

Tue, Nov 10

Overcast

High
6°
Low
-4°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
10%
Wind
6 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
UV index
2.8

Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:53

Confidence: high

ECMWF and GFS: highs 5°, lows -5° – -4°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Wed, Nov 11

Mostly clear

High
5°
Low
-5°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
14%
Wind
6 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
UV index
3.3

Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:52

Confidence: high

ECMWF and GFS: highs 6° – 7°, lows -5° – -4°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Thu, Nov 12

Overcast

High
5°
Low
-4°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
18%
Wind
4 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
UV index
3

Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:51

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 5° – 8°, lows -4° – -2°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Fri, Nov 13

Snow showers

High
8°
Low
-1°
Precipitation
1.2 mm
Chance of precipitation
20%
Wind
4 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
UV index
3.2

Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:50

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 11°, lows -2° – 0°, precipitation 0 – 0.6 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sat, Nov 14

Snow showers

High
9°
Low
-3°
Precipitation
2.4 mm
Chance of precipitation
18%
Wind
3 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
UV index
2.7

Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:49

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 12°, lows -3° – 2°, precipitation 0 – 3 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sun, Nov 15

Overcast

High
6°
Low
-4°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
16%
Wind
7 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index
2.8

Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:49

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 6° – 14°, lows -4° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Mon, Nov 16partial day

Light snow

High
2°
Low
1°
Precipitation
7.8 mm
Chance of precipitation
20%
Wind
6 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
UV index
2.5

Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:48

The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 2° – 14°, lows 1° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 7.8 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

How the confidence is worked out

Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:

  • ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
  • ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
  • GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service

When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.

ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.

The level is the lower of these two:

  • Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
  • Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm

A day that only one model reaches has no level.

The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.