Wed, Nov 4
Rain
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 7.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 90%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
- UV index
- 3.7
Sunrise 07:39 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 1° – 4°, precipitation 1.5 – 3.9 mm
14-day forecast Gandzani
Forecast as of Nov 4, 16:12
Back to GandzaniEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Thu, Nov 5
Light rain
- High
- 6°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 3.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 95%
- Wind
- 28 km/h, gusts 53 km/h
- UV index
- 3.5
Sunrise 07:40 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 5° – 8°, lows -1° – 0°, precipitation 2.9 – 7.7 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 2°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 0.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 35%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:41 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 2° – 3°, lows -2° – -1°, precipitation 0.5 – 0.9 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Snow
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -2°
- Precipitation
- 6.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 60%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 0° – 1°, lows -8° – -2°, precipitation 6.7 – 20.4 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Partly cloudy
- High
- -2°
- Low
- -6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 44%
- Wind
- 29 km/h, gusts 58 km/h
- UV index
- 3.9
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -4° – -2°, lows -9° – -6°, precipitation 0 – 3.5 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Light snow
- High
- -4°
- Low
- -6°
- Precipitation
- 0.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 41%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
- UV index
- 4.1
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -5° – -3°, lows -12° – -6°, precipitation 0 – 4.9 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 1%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 3.9
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -3° – 0°, lows -12° – -9°, precipitation 0 – 1.1 mm
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 8%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -3° – 2°, lows -12° – -8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Light snow
- High
- -2°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 0.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.8
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -1° – 3°, lows -11° – -4°, precipitation 0 – 0.6 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Fog
- High
- -1°
- Low
- -12°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
- UV index
- 3.7
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -1° – 5°, lows -12° – -1°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Clear
- High
- 2°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 11 km/h
- UV index
- 2.2
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 3° – 4°, lows -9° – -1°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 3°
- Low
- -5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 3%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 27 km/h
- UV index
- 1.3
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 3°, lows -4° – 0°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16
Overcast
- High
- 3°
- Low
- -3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 17%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 3°, lows -5° – -4°, precipitation 0 – 14.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Tue, Nov 17partial day
Light snow
- High
- 2°
- Low
- -4°
- Precipitation
- 0.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:44
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -3° – 3°, lows -9° – -4°, precipitation 0.2 – 0.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.