Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 6.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 75%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 45 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 11°, lows 2° – 5°, precipitation 1.3 – 4 mm
14-day forecast Goderdzi Pass
Forecast as of Nov 4, 04:18
Back to Goderdzi PassEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Thu, Nov 5
Snow
- High
- 5°
- Low
- -3°
- Precipitation
- 47 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 29 km/h, gusts 94 km/h
- UV index
- 1.1
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 4° – 5°, lows -3° – -2°, precipitation 30.9 – 48.5 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light snow
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -4°
- Precipitation
- 1.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 85%
- Wind
- 18 km/h, gusts 57 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -1° – 1°, lows -4°, precipitation 1.8 – 2.5 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Snow
- High
- -1°
- Low
- -4°
- Precipitation
- 12.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 98%
- Wind
- 29 km/h, gusts 78 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -1°, lows -5° – -4°, precipitation 11.8 – 26.9 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Snow
- High
- -4°
- Low
- -6°
- Precipitation
- 28.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 36 km/h, gusts 83 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -4°, lows -7° – -6°, precipitation 15.6 – 29 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Snow
- High
- -4°
- Low
- -6°
- Precipitation
- 8.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 60%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
- UV index
- 3.6
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -4° – -1°, lows -15° – -6°, precipitation 0.2 – 20.7 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Mostly clear
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -11°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 10%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 20 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -1° – 1°, lows -16° – -12°, precipitation 0 – 1.5 mm
Wed, Nov 11
Mostly clear
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -16°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -1° – 1°, lows -17° – -10°, precipitation 0 – 2.4 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Light snow
- High
- 2°
- Low
- -16°
- Precipitation
- 0.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1° – 3°, lows -15° – -6°, precipitation 0 – 0.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Snow showers
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -7°
- Precipitation
- 3.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1°, lows -10° – -5°, precipitation 0 – 3.6 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Snow showers
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 6.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1° – 2°, lows -10° – -5°, precipitation 0 – 6.6 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Drizzle
- High
- 3°
- Low
- -5°
- Precipitation
- 4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 30%
- Wind
- 2 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 1.7
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 0° – 3°, lows -6° – -4°, precipitation 4.1 – 9.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16
Drizzle
- High
- 3°
- Low
- -5°
- Precipitation
- 1.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 27%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 1
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -4° – 3°, lows -9° – -6°, precipitation 1.2 – 8.4 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Tue, Nov 17partial day
Drizzle
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -3°
- Precipitation
- 4.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:48
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs -4° – 1°, lows -13° – -4°, precipitation 1.9 – 4.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.