Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 23°
- Low
- 12°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 18:06
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 22°, lows 10° – 15°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Gulripshi
Forecast as of Nov 3, 17:02
Back to GulripshiEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Thunderstorm
- High
- 19°
- Low
- 15°
- Precipitation
- 8.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 27 km/h
- UV index
- 2
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 18:04
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 18° – 20°, lows 10° – 16°, precipitation 5.8 – 8.2 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 16.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 98%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 17°, lows 10° – 11°, precipitation 12.2 – 25 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 18:02
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13°, lows 8°, precipitation 0 – 2.2 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Showers
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 19.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 76%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 34 km/h
- UV index
- 1.9
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 11°, lows 6° – 8°, precipitation 6.5 – 18.1 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Overcast
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 34%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 4° – 6°, precipitation 0.1 – 3 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Overcast
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 6%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12° – 13°, lows 3° – 4°, precipitation 0 – 1.4 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 6%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 14°, lows 1° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Mostly clear
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 16°, lows 1° – 9°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 08:03 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 19°, lows 3° – 10°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Overcast
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 23%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 08:04 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 17°, lows 2° – 13°, precipitation 0 – 3.9 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Mostly clear
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 1.2
Sunrise 08:06 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 17°, lows 1° – 13°, precipitation 0 – 2.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 16%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 2.1
Sunrise 08:07 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 18°, lows 2° – 14°, precipitation 0 – 9.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Overcast
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 32%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 2
Sunrise 08:08 · Sunset 17:52
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 17°, lows 5° – 13°, precipitation 0 – 2.6 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.