Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 25°
- Low
- 14°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
- UV index
- 3.7
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 18:05
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 24° – 25°, lows 10° – 14°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Keda
Forecast as of Nov 3, 09:13
Back to KedaEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 21°
- Low
- 15°
- Precipitation
- 3.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 83%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 18:04
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 21° – 22°, lows 12° – 16°, precipitation 2.4 – 7 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Heavy rain
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 65.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 44 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16°, lows 10°, precipitation 66.9 – 94.2 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 4.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 97%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 0.8
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 18:02
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 7° – 9°, precipitation 6.2 – 11.7 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Rain
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 45.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 95%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
- UV index
- 0.8
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 4° – 7°, precipitation 25.9 – 47.1 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Rain
- High
- 7°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 31 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 93%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 36 km/h
- UV index
- 0.5
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 6° – 8°, lows 3° – 4°, precipitation 15.7 – 48.4 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Partly cloudy
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 59%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 13°, lows -3° – 4°, precipitation 0 – 2.6 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 13°, lows -3° – 3°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 12°, lows -2° – 6°, precipitation 0 – 7.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Fog
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 33%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14°, lows -2° – 5°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Drizzle
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 13.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 29%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 15°, lows 2° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 12.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Showers
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 32.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 33%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 1.8
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 16°, lows 2° – 8°, precipitation 0 – 32.9 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Fog
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 20°, lows 2° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 0.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Showers
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 7.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 41%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:52
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 14°, lows 2° – 12°, precipitation 7.9 – 26 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.