Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 21°
- Low
- 13°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 11 km/h
- UV index
- 3.7
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 18:06
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 21° – 23°, lows 12° – 16°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Khelvachauri
Forecast as of Nov 3, 20:02
Back to KhelvachauriEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 19°
- Low
- 15°
- Precipitation
- 2.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 65%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 18:05
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 19° – 22°, lows 13° – 16°, precipitation 2.1 – 9.7 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 12°
- Precipitation
- 46.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 34 km/h, gusts 61 km/h
- UV index
- 0.2
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 18:04
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 15° – 17°, lows 11° – 12°, precipitation 50.6 – 107.4 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 7.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 95%
- Wind
- 22 km/h, gusts 36 km/h
- UV index
- 0.7
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 9° – 11°, precipitation 8.7 – 11.1 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Rain
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 22.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 76%
- Wind
- 37 km/h, gusts 66 km/h
- UV index
- 2.2
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 18:02
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 9°, precipitation 28.1 – 34.1 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Showers
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 17.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 94%
- Wind
- 27 km/h, gusts 44 km/h
- UV index
- 0.5
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 5° – 8°, precipitation 22.6 – 70.6 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Light rain
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 2.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 78%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 14°, lows 3° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 30.2 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Clear
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 16%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 1° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Mostly clear
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 17°, lows 1° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 28%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 20 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 19°, lows 3° – 11°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Partly cloudy
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 17°, lows 5° – 14°, precipitation 0 – 4 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Mostly clear
- High
- 18°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 0.7
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 18°, lows 5° – 14°, precipitation 0 – 2.6 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Drizzle
- High
- 19°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 29%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
- UV index
- 1.2
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 19° – 20°, lows 5° – 16°, precipitation 0.2 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Showers
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 20.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 35%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 1.5
Sunrise 08:03 · Sunset 17:53
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 17°, lows 10° – 14°, precipitation 20.8 – 26 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.