Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 24°
- Low
- 14°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
- UV index
- 3.5
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 24° – 26°, lows 14°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Khomuli
Forecast as of Nov 3, 13:21
Back to KhomuliEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 20°
- Low
- 15°
- Precipitation
- 2.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 85%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 19° – 22°, lows 14° – 15°, precipitation 1.8 – 4.8 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 51.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 32 km/h, gusts 64 km/h
- UV index
- 0.2
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 9° – 11°, precipitation 51.8 – 69 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Showers
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 7.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 45%
- Wind
- 19 km/h, gusts 34 km/h
- UV index
- 1.9
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 14°, lows 8° – 10°, precipitation 2 – 8.4 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Thunderstorm
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 29.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 90%
- Wind
- 24 km/h, gusts 50 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 6° – 9°, precipitation 9 – 29.1 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Showers
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 16.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 85%
- Wind
- 26 km/h, gusts 52 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 10°, lows 4° – 7°, precipitation 0.6 – 12.3 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Light rain
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 52%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 13°, lows 2° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 8.1 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Mostly clear
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 15%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 3°, precipitation 0 – 2 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Fog
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 20%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 40 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: high
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16°, lows 3° – 4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 19°, lows 5° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Partly cloudy
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 21°, lows 7° – 10°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Clear
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 37 km/h
- UV index
- 1.3
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 19°, lows 7° – 12°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 22 km/h, gusts 48 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 25°, lows 8° – 14°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Drizzle
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 3.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 32%
- Wind
- 22 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:47
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 22°, lows 9° – 16°, precipitation 0 – 3.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.