14-day forecast Dzviteri-Sakalandio

Forecast as of Nov 4, 01:05

Back to Dzviteri-Sakalandio

Farm weather: frost, hail, spraying windows and soil

Each day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.

Wed, Nov 4

Rain

High: 19°
Low: 12°
Precipitation: 7.1 mm
Chance of precipitation: 98%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 18:01

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 17° – 21°, lows 12° – 13°, precipitation 5.1 – 6.6 mm

Thu, Nov 5

Thunderstorm

High: 14°
Low: 10°
Precipitation: 33.7 mm
Chance of precipitation: 100%
Wind: 17 km/h, gusts 36 km/h
UV index: 1.5

Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 18:00

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 7° – 9°, precipitation 31.5 – 48 mm

Fri, Nov 6

Showers

High: 10°
Low: 6°
Precipitation: 2.9 mm
Chance of precipitation: 43%
Wind: 5 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
UV index: 3.2

Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:59

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 6° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 1.8 mm

Sat, Nov 7

Rain

High: 8°
Low: 4°
Precipitation: 24.1 mm
Chance of precipitation: 83%
Wind: 16 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:58

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 11°, lows 5° – 8°, precipitation 7.1 – 13.9 mm

Sun, Nov 8

Showers

High: 7°
Low: 1°
Precipitation: 6.5 mm
Chance of precipitation: 55%
Wind: 8 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
UV index: 2.4

Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:57

Confidence: low

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 10°, lows 3° – 5°, precipitation 0.4 – 14.6 mm

Mon, Nov 9

Overcast

High: 9°
Low: 1°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 8%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
UV index: 3

Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:56

Confidence: low

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 12°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 0 – 12.2 mm

Tue, Nov 10

Partly cloudy

High: 14°
Low: 3°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 14%
Wind: 8 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
UV index: 2.2

Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:55

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 2° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 1.7 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Wed, Nov 11

Mostly clear

High: 13°
Low: 3°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 16%
Wind: 8 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index: 2.5

Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:53

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 2° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Thu, Nov 12

Drizzle

High: 14°
Low: 5°
Precipitation: 0.2 mm
Chance of precipitation: 22%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
UV index: 2.7

Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:52

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 18°, lows 5° – 9°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Fri, Nov 13

Drizzle

High: 15°
Low: 5°
Precipitation: 8.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 19%
Wind: 6 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
UV index: 2.9

Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:51

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 3° – 12°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sat, Nov 14

Showers

High: 16°
Low: 3°
Precipitation: 12.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 24%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
UV index: 2.1

Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:51

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 3° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 3.2 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sun, Nov 15

Drizzle

High: 16°
Low: 4°
Precipitation: 1.6 mm
Chance of precipitation: 25%
Wind: 5 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:50

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 18°, lows 5° – 13°, precipitation 0 – 4.4 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Mon, Nov 16partial day

Showers

High: 13°
Low: 8°
Precipitation: 15.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 20%
Wind: 2 km/h, gusts 12 km/h
UV index: 1.2

Sunrise 08:03 · Sunset 17:49

The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 7° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 7.3 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

How the confidence is worked out

The models' forecasts as of Nov 3, 17:28

Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:

ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service

When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.

ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.

The level is the lower of these two:

Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm

A day that only one model reaches has no level.

The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.