Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 21°
- Low
- 14°
- Precipitation
- 3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 78%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 18:04
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 21° – 23°, lows 14° – 16°, precipitation 1.2 – 2.6 mm
14-day forecast Kveda Sameba
Forecast as of Nov 4, 13:23
Back to Kveda SamebaEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 12°
- Precipitation
- 32.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 23 km/h, gusts 54 km/h
- UV index
- 0.6
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 17°, lows 10° – 12°, precipitation 35.3 – 49 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 10.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 81%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12° – 14°, lows 9° – 10°, precipitation 0.4 – 10.5 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Rain
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 51.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 21 km/h, gusts 45 km/h
- UV index
- 2
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 9° – 10°, precipitation 21.8 – 51.3 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Rain
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 43.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 21 km/h, gusts 46 km/h
- UV index
- 1.3
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 11°, lows 6° – 7°, precipitation 15.4 – 59.1 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Showers
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 14.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 94%
- Wind
- 19 km/h, gusts 38 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 13°, lows 5° – 7°, precipitation 0.4 – 37.3 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Fog
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 41%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 4° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 9.9 mm
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 30%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 1.9
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16°, lows 4° – 10°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 36%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 1.1
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 19°, lows 5° – 12°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Fog
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 28%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 22°, lows 7° – 13°, precipitation 0 – 7.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Mostly clear
- High
- 19°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 35%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 1.5
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 20°, lows 7° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 10.2 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 19°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 46%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 0.3
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 18°, lows 8° – 9°, precipitation 2.4 – 33.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16
Overcast
- High
- 19°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 46%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
- UV index
- 1.7
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 16°, lows 6° – 12°, precipitation 9.2 – 25.6 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Tue, Nov 17partial day
Showers
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 2.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 41%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 1.6
Sunrise 08:04 · Sunset 17:51
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 15°, lows 5° – 12°, precipitation 3.4 – 25.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.