Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 21°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 8 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 20° – 22°, lows 8° – 12°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Kveda Tsageri
Forecast as of Nov 3, 09:13
Back to Kveda TsageriEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 2.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 76%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 12 km/h
- UV index
- 1
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 17°, lows 8° – 11°, precipitation 4.3 – 7 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Rain
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 33.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 7° – 9°, precipitation 50 – 85.1 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Fog
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 44%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 2.1
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 4° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 18.8 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Rain
- High
- 7°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 20.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 77%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 1
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 5° – 7°, lows 1° – 4°, precipitation 12.4 – 30.7 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Snow showers
- High
- 6°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 1.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 74%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 6° – 7°, lows -5° – 2°, precipitation 1.4 – 3.7 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Mostly clear
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 16%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 11°, lows -3° – 0°, precipitation 0 – 0.5 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 11°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 13°, lows -5° – 1°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 9°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 10°, lows -4° – 4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Fog
- High
- 11°
- Low
- -4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 14°, lows -4° – 3°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Drizzle
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 2.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 14°, lows 0° – 4°, precipitation 0 – 2.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Drizzle
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 1.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 15°, lows 2° – 6°, precipitation 0 – 2.1 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Fog
- High
- 11°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 16°, lows -3° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 0.7 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Showers
- High
- 10°
- Low
- -3°
- Precipitation
- 9.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 31%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:46
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows -4° – 10°, precipitation 9.8 – 15.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.