Tue, Nov 3
Fog
- High
- 24°
- Low
- 13°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
- UV index
- 3.5
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 18:04
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 23° – 25°, lows 12° – 14°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Kvemo Shukhuti
Forecast as of Nov 3, 09:27
Back to Kvemo ShukhutiEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 19°
- Low
- 14°
- Precipitation
- 3.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 79%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 19° – 21°, lows 14° – 15°, precipitation 2.6 – 5.9 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 12°
- Precipitation
- 45.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 29 km/h, gusts 67 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 15°, lows 11° – 12°, precipitation 42 – 57.1 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light rain
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 10°
- Precipitation
- 10.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 68%
- Wind
- 26 km/h, gusts 54 km/h
- UV index
- 2.1
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13°, lows 8° – 10°, precipitation 1.8 – 7.8 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Showers
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 26.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 88%
- Wind
- 27 km/h, gusts 58 km/h
- UV index
- 1.2
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 7° – 8°, precipitation 9 – 22.4 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Showers
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 8.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 84%
- Wind
- 23 km/h, gusts 48 km/h
- UV index
- 1.2
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 5° – 8°, precipitation 5.6 – 28.4 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 56%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12° – 13°, lows 2° – 6°, precipitation 0 – 0.6 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 2° – 5°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 1.7
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 14°, lows 4° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 1.2 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Fog
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 29%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 16°, lows 3° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Drizzle
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 28%
- Wind
- 30 km/h, gusts 61 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 16°, lows 8° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 1.9 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Drizzle
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 5.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 27%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
- UV index
- 1.6
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 5° – 9°, precipitation 0 – 5.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Fog
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 28 km/h, gusts 56 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 20°, lows 4° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 0.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Showers
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 5 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 35%
- Wind
- 31 km/h, gusts 62 km/h
- UV index
- 0.7
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:50
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14°, lows 8° – 12°, precipitation 5 – 7.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.