Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows -4° – 3°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Lamjurishi
Forecast as of Nov 3, 12:21
Back to LamjurishiEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Light rain
- High
- 6°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 85%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
- UV index
- 0.9
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 6°, lows 0° – 3°, precipitation 3.3 – 16.8 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Snow showers
- High
- 3°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 32.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
- UV index
- 0.6
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 2° – 3°, lows -3° – -1°, precipitation 20.6 – 35.4 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Snow showers
- High
- -1°
- Low
- -4°
- Precipitation
- 0.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 83%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
- UV index
- 3.7
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -2° – 0°, lows -8° – -3°, precipitation 1.4 – 1.9 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Snow showers
- High
- -3°
- Low
- -6°
- Precipitation
- 12.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 94%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 46 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -3° – -1°, lows -10° – -4°, precipitation 6.3 – 15.1 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Light snow
- High
- -5°
- Low
- -10°
- Precipitation
- 0.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 82%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 43 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -5° – -3°, lows -13° – -6°, precipitation 1.4 – 6.3 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Fog
- High
- -4°
- Low
- -10°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 16%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 27 km/h
- UV index
- 3.7
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -4° – -3°, lows -15° – -10°, precipitation 0 – 0.2 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -14°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 9%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 3.6
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs -2° – 0°, lows -15° – -11°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Partly cloudy
- High
- -1°
- Low
- -15°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 3.5
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1°, lows -14° – -10°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Partly cloudy
- High
- -1°
- Low
- -13°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1° – 3°, lows -14° – -8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Partly cloudy
- High
- -1°
- Low
- -13°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 0° – 5°, lows -17° – -3°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Fog
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -17°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 20%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 1° – 7°, lows -17° – 0°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Partly cloudy
- High
- 2°
- Low
- -13°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 16%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 3° – 8°, lows -13° – 1°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Overcast
- High
- 2°
- Low
- -10°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 28%
- Wind
- 4 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:44
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 4° – 11°, lows -11° – 3°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.