Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 22°
- Low
- 14°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 3%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 12 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 18:08
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 20° – 22°, lows 14° – 18°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Lidzava
Forecast as of Nov 3, 05:22
Back to LidzavaEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Rain
- High
- 18°
- Low
- 15°
- Precipitation
- 21.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 99%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 2.3
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 18:07
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 18° – 20°, lows 14° – 15°, precipitation 11.8 – 19.9 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Light rain
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 13°
- Precipitation
- 3.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 20 km/h, gusts 39 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 18:06
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 17°, lows 11° – 12°, precipitation 6.7 – 22.4 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Showers
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 2.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 18 km/h, gusts 36 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 18:05
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 8° – 11°, precipitation 0 – 1.3 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Rain
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 20 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 74%
- Wind
- 20 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 2.3
Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 18:04
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 4° – 9°, precipitation 7.9 – 22.5 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Overcast
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 38%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 18:02
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 2° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Mostly clear
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 8%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 08:03 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 4° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Fog
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 13%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 2.1
Sunrise 08:04 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 14°, lows 4° – 11°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Fog
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 1.1
Sunrise 08:06 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 5° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 1.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 26%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 08:07 · Sunset 17:58
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 5° – 12°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 27%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 2.2
Sunrise 08:08 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 6° – 13°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Fog
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 23%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
- UV index
- 1.2
Sunrise 08:09 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 6° – 15°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Fog
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 23%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 08:11 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 18°, lows 4° – 14°, precipitation 0 – 6.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Showers
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 17.1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 31%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 1.5
Sunrise 08:12 · Sunset 17:54
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 7° – 14°, precipitation 17.1 – 43.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.