Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 18°
- Low
- 11°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
- UV index
- 3.5
Sunrise 07:37 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 17°, lows 7° – 10°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Mumlaantkari
Forecast as of Nov 3, 14:50
Back to MumlaantkariEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Light rain
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 0.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 15%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:39 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16°, lows 7° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 0.3 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Light rain
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 6.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 91%
- Wind
- 36 km/h, gusts 76 km/h
- UV index
- 2.2
Sunrise 07:40 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 6° – 7°, precipitation 6.9 – 12.4 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Overcast
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 2%
- Wind
- 23 km/h, gusts 48 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 07:41 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 8° – 10°, lows 4° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 0.4 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Light rain
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 29%
- Wind
- 28 km/h, gusts 53 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 9°, lows 3°, precipitation 0.1 – 18.9 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Light snow
- High
- 4°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 42%
- Wind
- 34 km/h, gusts 77 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 4° – 6°, lows 1° – 2°, precipitation 0.4 – 2.2 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Partly cloudy
- High
- 6°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 22 km/h, gusts 52 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 4° – 6°, lows 0° – 1°, precipitation 0 – 0.5 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Partly cloudy
- High
- 8°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 7%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: high
ECMWF and GFS: highs 7° – 8°, lows -2° – 0°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Partly cloudy
- High
- 7°
- Low
- -2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 19 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 10°, lows -2° – 1°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 8°
- Low
- -2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 11°, lows -2° – 2°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Snow showers
- High
- 9°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 1.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:44
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 13°, lows -1° – 4°, precipitation 0 – 1.2 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Mostly clear
- High
- 8°
- Low
- -1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 11%
- Wind
- 14 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:43
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 13°, lows -1° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 7°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 19 km/h, gusts 40 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:42
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 7° – 15°, lows -1° – 9°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Overcast
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 19%
- Wind
- 16 km/h, gusts 36 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:41
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 14°, lows -1° – 9°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.