Wed, Nov 4
Overcast
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 43%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:33 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 0 – 0.7 mm
14-day forecast Omalo
Forecast as of Nov 4, 21:53
Back to OmaloEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Thu, Nov 5
Rain
- High
- 6°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 7.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:34 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 6° – 7°, lows 2°, precipitation 4.4 – 6.2 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Light snow
- High
- 4°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 0.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 35%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 26 km/h
- UV index
- 3.8
Sunrise 07:36 · Sunset 17:45
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 3° – 4°, lows -2° – 0°, precipitation 0.1 – 0.6 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Rain
- High
- 2°
- Low
- 0°
- Precipitation
- 13.5 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 95%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 1.9
Sunrise 07:37 · Sunset 17:44
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 1° – 2°, lows -7° – -1°, precipitation 5.5 – 18 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Snow showers
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -5°
- Precipitation
- 2.3 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 41%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:38 · Sunset 17:43
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -2° – 3°, lows -9° – -6°, precipitation 0.4 – 3.3 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Light snow
- High
- -3°
- Low
- -10°
- Precipitation
- 1 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 21%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:39 · Sunset 17:42
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -3° – -2°, lows -15° – -7°, precipitation 0 – 8.1 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Partly cloudy
- High
- -2°
- Low
- -11°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 2%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:41 · Sunset 17:41
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -3° – 2°, lows -18° – -9°, precipitation 0 mm
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -7°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 4%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 17:40
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -1° – 4°, lows -16° – -6°, precipitation 0 mm
Thu, Nov 12
Fog
- High
- 0°
- Low
- -14°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 8%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 21 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 17:39
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 0° – 8°, lows -14° – -4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Fog
- High
- 1°
- Low
- -15°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 16%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:38
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 3° – 8°, lows -14° – 0°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Fog
- High
- 7°
- Low
- -12°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 9%
- Wind
- 2 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:37
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 7° – 9°, lows -13° – 0°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Partly cloudy
- High
- 7°
- Low
- -8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 5%
- Wind
- 2 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:36
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 7° – 8°, lows -8° – 1°, precipitation 0 – 0.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16
Partly cloudy
- High
- 7°
- Low
- -9°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 10%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 2.5
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:35
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 6° – 8°, lows -8° – 0°, precipitation 0 – 33.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Tue, Nov 17partial day
Overcast
- High
- 8°
- Low
- -8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 20%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 3.2
Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:34
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 0° – 8°, lows -14° – -7°, precipitation 0 – 5.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.