Tue, Nov 3
Overcast
- High
- 22°
- Low
- 13°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 0%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 14 km/h
- UV index
- 3.4
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 18:06
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 21° – 23°, lows 12° – 14°, precipitation 0 mm
14-day forecast Tavisupleba
Forecast as of Nov 3, 18:28
Back to TavisuplebaEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Wed, Nov 4
Showers
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 14°
- Precipitation
- 9.7 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
- UV index
- 1.6
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 18:04
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 16° – 18°, lows 13° – 14°, precipitation 6 – 12.8 mm
Thu, Nov 5
Thunderstorm
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 25.9 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 98%
- Wind
- 11 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 18:03
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 8° – 9°, precipitation 14.4 – 36.5 mm
Fri, Nov 6
Overcast
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 13 km/h
- UV index
- 3
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 18:02
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 5° – 7°, precipitation 0.1 – 2.8 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Showers
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 19.5 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 76%
- Wind
- 9 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 1.1
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 18:01
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 10°, lows 4° – 8°, precipitation 4.8 – 21.3 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Overcast
- High
- 9°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 26%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 15 km/h
- UV index
- 2.6
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 18:00
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9° – 10°, lows 2° – 5°, precipitation 0 – 3.3 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Overcast
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 8%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 2.9
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:59
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 12°, lows 1° – 3°, precipitation 0 – 1.8 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 7%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 14°, lows 2° – 4°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Wed, Nov 11
Fog
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 2°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 12%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 1° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Thu, Nov 12
Overcast
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 08:03 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 19°, lows 3° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Mostly clear
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 3°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 18%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 0.8
Sunrise 08:05 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 15°, lows 3° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 6 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Mostly clear
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 6 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 0.4
Sunrise 08:06 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 3° – 11°, precipitation 0 – 5.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 24%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 16 km/h
- UV index
- 1.7
Sunrise 08:07 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 17°, lows 4° – 13°, precipitation 0 – 13.3 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16partial day
Overcast
- High
- 13°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 22%
- Wind
- 3 km/h, gusts 13 km/h
- UV index
- 2.1
Sunrise 08:08 · Sunset 17:52
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 14° – 16°, lows 6° – 12°, precipitation 0 – 3.8 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.