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14-day forecast Zeda Dimi

Forecast as of Nov 3, 10:10

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Farm weather: frost, hail, spraying windows and soil

Each day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.

Tue, Nov 3

Overcast

High
23°
Low
16°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
3%
Wind
20 km/h, gusts 40 km/h
UV index
3.6

Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 18:00

Confidence: low

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 23° – 25°, lows 11° – 16°, precipitation 0 mm

Wed, Nov 4

Showers

High
19°
Low
14°
Precipitation
1.2 mm
Chance of precipitation
59%
Wind
12 km/h, gusts 24 km/h
UV index
2.5

Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:59

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 20°, lows 11° – 14°, precipitation 0.1 – 1.8 mm

Thu, Nov 5

Rain

High
14°
Low
11°
Precipitation
30.8 mm
Chance of precipitation
100%
Wind
28 km/h, gusts 56 km/h
UV index
0.7

Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:58

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 10°, precipitation 24.3 – 30.5 mm

Fri, Nov 6

Light rain

High
11°
Low
8°
Precipitation
4.6 mm
Chance of precipitation
79%
Wind
16 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
UV index
1.2

Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:57

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 6° – 9°, precipitation 1.1 – 5.3 mm

Sat, Nov 7

Light rain

High
10°
Low
8°
Precipitation
12.2 mm
Chance of precipitation
90%
Wind
21 km/h, gusts 43 km/h
UV index
2.6

Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:56

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10°, lows 5° – 6°, precipitation 4.4 – 10.7 mm

Sun, Nov 8

Rain

High
8°
Low
5°
Precipitation
9.7 mm
Chance of precipitation
88%
Wind
22 km/h, gusts 46 km/h
UV index
1.4

Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:55

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 9°, lows 4° – 5°, precipitation 8.7 – 17.7 mm

Mon, Nov 9

Overcast

High
13°
Low
2°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
57%
Wind
9 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
UV index
3.1

Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:53

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 2°, precipitation 0 – 2.3 mm

Tue, Nov 10

Overcast

High
15°
Low
3°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
12%
Wind
16 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
UV index
2.9

Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:52

Confidence: high

ECMWF and GFS: highs 15°, lows 2° – 4°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Wed, Nov 11

Fog

High
13°
Low
5°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
26%
Wind
6 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
UV index
2.2

Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:51

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 2° – 6°, precipitation 0 – 0.6 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Thu, Nov 12

Fog

High
15°
Low
2°
Precipitation
0 mm
Chance of precipitation
29%
Wind
6 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
UV index
3

Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:50

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 15° – 16°, lows 2° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Fri, Nov 13

Drizzle

High
10°
Low
4°
Precipitation
3.6 mm
Chance of precipitation
25%
Wind
13 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
UV index
2.5

Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:49

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 16°, lows 4° – 8°, precipitation 0 – 3.6 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sat, Nov 14

Drizzle

High
12°
Low
7°
Precipitation
5.6 mm
Chance of precipitation
30%
Wind
6 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index
2.4

Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:48

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 17°, lows 3° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 5.5 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sun, Nov 15

Drizzle

High
15°
Low
3°
Precipitation
0.4 mm
Chance of precipitation
23%
Wind
16 km/h, gusts 42 km/h
UV index
2.7

Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:48

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 19°, lows 2° – 10°, precipitation 0.1 – 0.5 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Mon, Nov 16partial day

Drizzle

High
13°
Low
4°
Precipitation
0.8 mm
Chance of precipitation
31%
Wind
10 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
UV index
0.7

Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:47

The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 14°, lows 4° – 11°, precipitation 0.8 – 4.7 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

How the confidence is worked out

Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:

  • ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
  • ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
  • GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service

When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.

ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.

The level is the lower of these two:

  • Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
  • Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm

A day that only one model reaches has no level.

The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.