Thu, Nov 5
Rain
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 9°
- Precipitation
- 32.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 100%
- Wind
- 27 km/h, gusts 55 km/h
- UV index
- 0.6
Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 17:57
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 14°, lows 8° – 9°, precipitation 19.6 – 37.9 mm
14-day forecast Zeda Sakara
Forecast as of Nov 5, 01:57
Back to Zeda SakaraEach day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.
Fri, Nov 6
Showers
- High
- 11°
- Low
- 8°
- Precipitation
- 3.8 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 93%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 34 km/h
- UV index
- 3.3
Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:56
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 6° – 8°, precipitation 0.2 – 5.5 mm
Sat, Nov 7
Light rain
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 7°
- Precipitation
- 7.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 91%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
- UV index
- 1.8
Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:55
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 10° – 11°, lows 5° – 7°, precipitation 6 – 8.6 mm
Sun, Nov 8
Showers
- High
- 7°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 2.4 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 86%
- Wind
- 17 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
- UV index
- 0.6
Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:54
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 6° – 7°, lows 3° – 5°, precipitation 2.6 – 21 mm
Mon, Nov 9
Showers
- High
- 8°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 3.6 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 68%
- Wind
- 12 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
- UV index
- 2.3
Sunrise 07:49 · Sunset 17:53
Confidence: medium
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 5° – 8°, lows 1° – 4°, precipitation 3.9 – 12.5 mm
Tue, Nov 10
Fog
- High
- 12°
- Low
- 1°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 38%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 25 km/h
- UV index
- 3.1
Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:52
Confidence: high
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 0° – 1°, precipitation 0 – 0.4 mm
Wed, Nov 11
Overcast
- High
- 14°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 14%
- Wind
- 15 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:51
Confidence: low
ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12° – 15°, lows 0° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm
Thu, Nov 12
Drizzle
- High
- 10°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 4.2 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 8 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
- UV index
- 0.9
Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:50
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 16°, lows 2° – 6°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Fri, Nov 13
Overcast
- High
- 15°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 25%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 18 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:54 · Sunset 17:49
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 20°, lows 1° – 8°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sat, Nov 14
Overcast
- High
- 16°
- Low
- 4°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 20%
- Wind
- 13 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
- UV index
- 1.1
Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:48
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 18°, lows 1° – 9°, precipitation 0 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Sun, Nov 15
Overcast
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 5°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 12%
- Wind
- 10 km/h, gusts 28 km/h
- UV index
- 2.7
Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:47
Confidence: medium
ECMWF and GFS: highs 17° – 20°, lows 5° – 9°, precipitation 0 – 5.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Mon, Nov 16
Overcast
- High
- 17°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 29%
- Wind
- 5 km/h, gusts 17 km/h
- UV index
- 2.4
Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:46
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 9° – 17°, lows 6° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 18.5 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
Tue, Nov 17partial day
Overcast
- High
- 20°
- Low
- 6°
- Precipitation
- 0 mm
- Chance of precipitation
- 35%
- Wind
- 7 km/h, gusts 20 km/h
- UV index
- 2.8
Sunrise 07:59 · Sunset 17:45
The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.
Confidence: low
ECMWF and GFS: highs 10° – 17°, lows 4° – 8°, precipitation 0.1 – 1.2 mm
ICON: no forecast for this day
How the confidence is worked out
Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:
- ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
- ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
- GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service
When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.
ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.
The level is the lower of these two:
- Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
- Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm
A day that only one model reaches has no level.
The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.