14-day forecast Zeindari

Forecast as of Nov 5, 05:13

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Farm weather: frost, hail, spraying windows and soil

Each day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.

Thu, Nov 5

Thunderstorm

High: 15°
Low: 11°
Precipitation: 30.6 mm
Chance of precipitation: 100%
Wind: 36 km/h, gusts 68 km/h
UV index: 0.3

Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:59

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 14° – 15°, lows 9° – 10°, precipitation 27.6 – 54.6 mm

Fri, Nov 6

Light rain

High: 12°
Low: 9°
Precipitation: 1.6 mm
Chance of precipitation: 80%
Wind: 17 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
UV index: 3.3

Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:58

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 12° – 13°, lows 8° – 9°, precipitation 1 – 4 mm

Sat, Nov 7

Light rain

High: 12°
Low: 8°
Precipitation: 6.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 93%
Wind: 10 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
UV index: 1.9

Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:56

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 8°, precipitation 6.1 – 9.1 mm

Sun, Nov 8

Light rain

High: 9°
Low: 6°
Precipitation: 4.1 mm
Chance of precipitation: 87%
Wind: 16 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
UV index: 1

Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:55

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 9°, lows 5°, precipitation 4.1 – 6 mm

Mon, Nov 9

Showers

High: 9°
Low: 4°
Precipitation: 1.5 mm
Chance of precipitation: 59%
Wind: 17 km/h, gusts 35 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:54

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 9°, lows 4° – 5°, precipitation 1.5 – 19.7 mm

Tue, Nov 10

Partly cloudy

High: 13°
Low: 4°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 40%
Wind: 15 km/h, gusts 29 km/h
UV index: 3

Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:53

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 11° – 13°, lows 2° – 4°, precipitation 0 – 0.6 mm

Wed, Nov 11

Overcast

High: 15°
Low: 8°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 21%
Wind: 23 km/h, gusts 46 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:52

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 13° – 15°, lows 4° – 6°, precipitation 0 – 0.3 mm

Thu, Nov 12

Drizzle

High: 12°
Low: 5°
Precipitation: 7.1 mm
Chance of precipitation: 23%
Wind: 10 km/h, gusts 22 km/h
UV index: 0.7

Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:51

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 12°, lows 4° – 9°, precipitation 3.1 – 8.1 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Fri, Nov 13

Overcast

High: 16°
Low: 4°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 25%
Wind: 9 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index: 2.8

Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:50

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 12° – 17°, lows 3° – 10°, precipitation 0 – 2.1 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sat, Nov 14

Overcast

High: 17°
Low: 6°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 12%
Wind: 26 km/h, gusts 50 km/h
UV index: 1.2

Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:49

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 17°, lows 6° – 7°, precipitation 0 – 20.1 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sun, Nov 15

Overcast

High: 17°
Low: 9°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 14%
Wind: 30 km/h, gusts 56 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:48

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 8° – 18°, lows 6° – 8°, precipitation 0 – 5.6 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Mon, Nov 16

Overcast

High: 18°
Low: 8°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 29%
Wind: 19 km/h, gusts 37 km/h
UV index: 2.4

Sunrise 08:00 · Sunset 17:48

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 11° – 19°, lows 3° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Tue, Nov 17

Overcast

High: 19°
Low: 7°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 20%
Wind: 17 km/h, gusts 31 km/h
UV index: 2.8

Sunrise 08:01 · Sunset 17:47

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 13° – 20°, lows 5° – 7°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Wed, Nov 18partial day

Overcast

High: 19°
Low: 10°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 24%
Wind: 21 km/h, gusts 41 km/h
UV index: 2.8

Sunrise 08:02 · Sunset 17:46

The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 16° – 19°, lows 6° – 11°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

How the confidence is worked out

Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:

ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service

When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.

ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.

The level is the lower of these two:

Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm

A day that only one model reaches has no level.

The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.