14-day forecast Zekari Pass

Forecast as of Nov 4, 01:02

Back to Zekari Pass

Farm weather: frost, hail, spraying windows and soil

Each day also shows how well three weather models agree on it: what the confidence means.

Wed, Nov 4

Showers

High: 7°
Low: 2°
Precipitation: 4.3 mm
Chance of precipitation: 85%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 33 km/h
UV index: 2.9

Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 18:00

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 7° – 9°, lows 2°, precipitation 2.6 – 4.1 mm

Thu, Nov 5

Showers

High: 3°
Low: -2°
Precipitation: 12.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 100%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 38 km/h
UV index: 0.9

Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 17:59

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs 3°, lows -3° – -2°, precipitation 12.8 – 21.3 mm

Fri, Nov 6

Light snow

High: -2°
Low: -4°
Precipitation: 4.1 mm
Chance of precipitation: 95%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index: 0.8

Sunrise 07:46 · Sunset 17:57

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -3° – -1°, lows -4° – -2°, precipitation 2.6 – 5.9 mm

Sat, Nov 7

Snow showers

High: -2°
Low: -5°
Precipitation: 5.7 mm
Chance of precipitation: 94%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 51 km/h
UV index: 1.7

Sunrise 07:47 · Sunset 17:56

Confidence: high

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -2° – -1°, lows -6° – -4°, precipitation 4.1 – 27.3 mm

Sun, Nov 8

Snow showers

High: -6°
Low: -8°
Precipitation: 21.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 93%
Wind: 9 km/h, gusts 66 km/h
UV index: 1.6

Sunrise 07:48 · Sunset 17:55

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -6° – -3°, lows -9° – -8°, precipitation 13.4 – 53.5 mm

Mon, Nov 9

Snow

High: -4°
Low: -8°
Precipitation: 9.3 mm
Chance of precipitation: 68%
Wind: 6 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
UV index: 2.6

Sunrise 07:50 · Sunset 17:54

Confidence: low

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -5° – -4°, lows -13° – -8°, precipitation 6 – 10.2 mm

Tue, Nov 10

Partly cloudy

High: 0°
Low: -10°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 12%
Wind: 7 km/h, gusts 23 km/h
UV index: 2.8

Sunrise 07:51 · Sunset 17:53

Confidence: medium

ECMWF, ICON, and GFS: highs -3° – 0°, lows -13° – -10°, precipitation 0 – 0.5 mm

Wed, Nov 11

Mostly clear

High: 1°
Low: -12°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 18%
Wind: 9 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
UV index: 3

Sunrise 07:52 · Sunset 17:52

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs -2° – 2°, lows -13° – -9°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Thu, Nov 12

Overcast

High: 1°
Low: -10°
Precipitation: 0 mm
Chance of precipitation: 20%
Wind: 10 km/h, gusts 34 km/h
UV index: 2.9

Sunrise 07:53 · Sunset 17:51

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs -3° – 2°, lows -9° – -7°, precipitation 0 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Fri, Nov 13

Snow showers

High: 1°
Low: -8°
Precipitation: 2.6 mm
Chance of precipitation: 17%
Wind: 5 km/h, gusts 19 km/h
UV index: 3.4

Sunrise 07:55 · Sunset 17:50

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs -2° – 2°, lows -9° – -8°, precipitation 0 – 1.9 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sat, Nov 14

Snow showers

High: 1°
Low: -9°
Precipitation: 5.8 mm
Chance of precipitation: 19%
Wind: 5 km/h, gusts 20 km/h
UV index: 3

Sunrise 07:56 · Sunset 17:49

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs -1° – 2°, lows -11° – -5°, precipitation 0 – 0.5 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Sun, Nov 15

Drizzle

High: 2°
Low: -9°
Precipitation: 2.4 mm
Chance of precipitation: 27%
Wind: 10 km/h, gusts 32 km/h
UV index: 1.9

Sunrise 07:57 · Sunset 17:48

Confidence: low

ECMWF and GFS: highs 2° – 3°, lows -9° – -1°, precipitation 0 – 1.8 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

Mon, Nov 16partial day

Drizzle

High: 0°
Low: -4°
Precipitation: 1.2 mm
Chance of precipitation: 20%
Wind: 9 km/h, gusts 30 km/h
UV index: 1.2

Sunrise 07:58 · Sunset 17:47

The forecast ends at 23:00, so this day's totals leave out the last hour.

Confidence: medium

ECMWF and GFS: highs 2°, lows -4° – -1°, precipitation 7.7 – 13.5 mm

ICON: no forecast for this day

How the confidence is worked out

Forecasts are worked out by weather models: computer simulations of the atmosphere. The confidence compares three of the world's leading global models:

ECMWF: the model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ICON: the model of the Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany's national weather service
GFS: the Global Forecast System of the US National Weather Service

When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they differ, the day is harder to forecast and its weather may turn out otherwise. Agreement means more certainty, not certainty: all three models can be wrong together.

ICON's forecast reaches about a week ahead, ECMWF's and GFS's about two weeks: each day shows only the models that reach it.

The level is the lower of these two:

Highs and lows: high when the models' highs are within 2° of each other, and their lows too; medium within 4°; low beyond that
Precipitation: medium when the models disagree on whether the day is wet (1 mm or more); low when one of them has 10 mm or more and another less than 1 mm

A day that only one model reaches has no level.

The models' forecasts: ECMWF, the Deutscher Wetterdienst and NOAA, through Open-Meteo.